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159 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Marc Ferradou
ba1bac834e Adding changepoint threshold (#299) 2018-05-25 15:53:19 -07:00
Ben Letham
2d6e249391 Consistent plot styling in dygraph plot 2018-05-25 15:21:28 -07:00
Ben Letham
663214393e Minor stan simplifications 2018-05-25 13:57:45 -07:00
Ben Letham
ab09fbcd6e Remove vestigial reference to seasonal column 2018-05-16 12:42:45 -07:00
Ben Letham
3bd372bc15 Speed up stan fitting by removing unecessary parameter definitions 2018-05-15 13:26:46 -07:00
Ben Letham
7c010aac51 Multiplicative seasonality (R) 2018-05-15 10:07:38 -07:00
Ben Letham
8e8e04858a Move copy test to test_diagnostics 2018-05-04 16:15:43 -07:00
Ben Letham
b052b56d33 Refactor cross validation metrics for rolling window, add visualization, put example in notebook (R) 2018-05-04 15:07:35 -07:00
Ben Letham
3afdaaf4e1 Move copy from method to function in diagnostics file 2018-05-03 11:42:10 -07:00
Ben Letham
3da46503ed Add utility for plotting changepoints (Py), and put in plotting file (R and Py) 2018-05-03 11:10:11 -07:00
Ben Letham
0c30f6efcf Merge in some minor fixes from master 2018-04-20 18:48:21 -07:00
Ben Letham
aa4e223152 Combine trend models into a single stan file (R) 2018-04-20 17:23:11 -07:00
Ben Letham
1f84fa960f Move changepoint matrix calculation into stan (R) 2018-04-20 15:20:38 -07:00
Andy Pohl
1722e99554 unaddressed warnings from unit tests (#450) 
* unaddressed warnings from unit tests

* devtools wants Encoding set or it complains through testthat::check()
 2018-04-18 17:06:39 -07:00
Ben Letham
f54d3b50ae R set_date robust to NAs 2018-02-01 17:21:55 -08:00
Ben Letham
7b9acd953f Add error message if make_future_dataframe before fit 2018-02-01 16:21:57 -08:00
Nagi Teramo
14d5028a73 Implement metrics for time series forecasts (#384) 
* Add metrics for model validation

* Update to reflect comments on Github

* Change all_metrics() implementation to more sophisticated style

* Update metrics functions

* Remove redundant argument

* Use v0.3 files for diagnostics.R and prophet.R

* Use v0.3 file for man/predict.prophet.Rd

* Change the interface and do some refactoring
 2018-01-05 16:05:58 -08:00
Ben Letham
a6d68497f1 Revert "Merge branch 'v0.3' into master" 
This reverts commit 011a292427, reversing
changes made to 5d453c1d05.
 2017-12-22 16:32:54 -08:00
Ben Letham
014b3b5919
Merge bugfixes from master into v0.3 (#393) 
* Update memory requirement description per #326

* Fix R warning with extra regressor; disallow constant extra regressors.

* Fix unit test broken in new pandas

* Fix diagnostics unit tests for new pandas

* Fix copy with extra seasonalities / regressors Py

* Fix copy with extra seasonalities / regressors R

* Fix weekly_start and yearly_start in R plot_components

* Fix plotting in pandas 0.21 by using pydatetime instead of numpy

* Version bump

* Update README for new version

* Fix missing columns in SHF with extra regressor
 2017-12-22 16:30:18 -08:00
Ben Letham
011a292427
Merge branch 'v0.3' into master 2017-12-22 16:29:52 -08:00
Ben Letham
07138f7deb R package doc update for dygraph addition 2017-12-22 13:36:46 -08:00
Ben Letham
a19589a662 Fix merge issues 2017-12-22 12:19:09 -08:00
Willy Hardy
451c886c73 Added dygraphs functionality. (#320) 
* Added dygraphs functionality.

* reversed the unintentional inclusion of prophet_copy

* namespaced  functions and corrected %>% typo
 2017-12-22 12:09:11 -08:00
bletham
5d453c1d05 Fix missing columns in SHF with extra regressor 2017-11-09 21:19:51 -08:00
Ben Letham
0c3f30fd94 Version bump 2017-11-08 10:43:51 -08:00
Ben Letham
e78f583f90
Merge in bugfixes from master (#349) 
* Update memory requirement description per #326

* Fix R warning with extra regressor; disallow constant extra regressors.

* Fix unit test broken in new pandas

* Fix diagnostics unit tests for new pandas

* Fix copy with extra seasonalities / regressors Py

* Fix copy with extra seasonalities / regressors R

* Fix weekly_start and yearly_start in R plot_components

* Fix plotting in pandas 0.21 by using pydatetime instead of numpy
 2017-11-08 10:09:08 -08:00
bl
af80f9c94e Fix weekly_start and yearly_start in R plot_components 2017-11-05 15:57:59 -08:00
bletham
0addabcad7 Fix copy with extra seasonalities / regressors R 2017-11-04 21:40:45 -07:00
bl
feb7be397b Fix R warning with extra regressor; disallow constant extra regressors. 2017-11-04 16:40:20 -07:00
Bernie Gray
1e30462779 efficiency and robustness improvements for R package (#308) 
* efficiency improvements in r package

* add drop = FALSE to df subsetting

* adding two more drop = FALSE

* add back in global var vector

* revert to previous style of piecewise_linear, piecewise_logistic

* more reversion

* even more reversion

* revert get_changepoint_matrix

* trying to pinpoint issues

* more debugginh

* tests finally pass

* last commit of pr

* last commit of pr

* add utils to imports
 2017-10-17 16:33:11 -07:00
Ben Letham
c3d2280af8 Add layer_changepoints from #273 2017-10-11 09:38:15 -07:00
Ben Letham
c6b76aab8c Move layer_changepoints to v0.3 branch 2017-10-11 09:30:25 -07:00
bletham
e04e024ff1 Add changepoint visualization to R package 2017-10-10 22:15:28 -07:00
bletham
a43cfe8995 Fix component plot with logistic floor 2017-10-10 21:24:23 -07:00
Sean J. Taylor
4c08596ee1 Changes to make R package build on windows without warnings 2017-09-12 09:31:34 -07:00
Sean J. Taylor
c0a7eac3b3 Fix for broken tests (using local timezone) 2017-09-08 11:30:43 -07:00
Ben Letham
2ab01c5d77 Fix flaky unit test 2017-09-08 07:59:52 -07:00
bl
2e9768348b Version bump 2017-09-02 13:28:30 -07:00
bl
2f9b20b2d3 Documentation for cross validation 2017-09-02 10:53:38 -07:00
Ben Letham
4f5f97d55b Fix plotting bug 2017-09-01 16:51:55 -07:00
Ben Letham
4c235d9505 R replace warning with message 2017-09-01 16:18:15 -07:00
Ben Letham
4b185bf001 Fix duplicated function from merge 2017-09-01 16:12:19 -07:00
Ben Letham
439efb7209 Graceful error on empty input dataframes 2017-09-01 15:50:19 -07:00
Ben Letham
8066634cb4 Refactor setup_dataframe R 2017-09-01 12:27:23 -07:00
Ben Letham
2ddcf54930 Saturating minimum R 2017-09-01 11:16:59 -07:00
Ben Letham
66ea9444eb Custom seasonality prior scales R, handle NAs in holiday priors 2017-09-01 10:04:20 -07:00
Ben Letham
ddbb353278 Custom prior scales R 2017-08-31 10:56:06 -07:00
Ben Letham
23d8bc25dc R unit tests for added regressors 2017-08-30 17:10:43 -07:00
Ben Letham
57c97f2e5e Finish extra regressors in R 2017-08-30 16:17:41 -07:00
Simon Kim
17efc9aecd External regressors v2 (#283) 
Add regressors in R
 2017-08-30 11:04:56 -07:00
bletham
3c09448018 Add cross-validation functions in R 2017-08-26 14:31:33 -07:00
bletham
e4ec600da4 Handle constant y in history 2017-08-19 14:03:00 -07:00
bletham
0b4ec4a9b3 Limit n_changepoints to number of observations. 2017-08-19 11:20:53 -07:00
hoxo_m
fd125c4760 Refine R code a little (#263) 
* Replace tail(-1) with [-1]

* Don't need to import utils anymore
 2017-07-29 18:56:56 -07:00
bl
b76ebf18bb documentation update 2017-07-29 17:36:03 -07:00
bl
58fa0bcec5 Suppress internal functions from reference manual 2017-07-28 22:03:27 -07:00
Ben Letham
ff1dbcf38d Alternative formulation for logistic growth initialization 2017-07-17 11:13:22 -07:00
Ben Letham
c836b520ab Add m as argument to make_future_dataframe 2017-07-11 17:32:02 -07:00
Ben Letham
85220328bb Convert manual changepoints to POSIXct before validation 2017-07-11 11:10:19 -07:00
bl
093b4b7eec R sub-daily data documentation, bugfixes, and unit tests 2017-07-10 22:57:13 -07:00
Qi Wang
b0938df109 Add support for fitting daily seasonality, make holiday features work when daily seasonality is enabled (#246) 
* Add support for fitting daily seasonality, make holiday features work
when daily seasonality is enabled

* fix wrong comment in make_future_dataframe()
 2017-07-10 18:46:49 -07:00
bl
b07d345155 Bugfix for add_seasonality 2017-07-05 20:15:00 -07:00
bl
8be35c2f34 Custom seasonalities in R 2017-07-05 01:20:22 -07:00
bl
373f543894 Whitespace and documentation fixes 2017-07-04 17:42:58 -07:00
Simon Kim
19e95311c2 Add a posterior analysis function to R (#238) 
* Add a posterior analysis function to R

* Add a predictive_samples function to R
 2017-07-04 17:27:55 -07:00
bl
1339aada96 Check for Inf values in history; roxygen version bump. 2017-07-04 01:12:22 -07:00
bl
3ebedb1110 Use abs for scaling y 2017-07-03 21:29:38 -07:00
Ben Letham
2bb5827303 Update tidyr call to work with dplyr-0.6.0-rc 2017-04-18 16:18:31 -07:00
Sean J. Taylor
46d1f7b24c Adding some compiler flags to make warnings more palatable. 2017-04-18 15:26:00 -07:00
Sean J. Taylor
719d380589 Add to the changelog / style change. 2017-04-17 17:37:36 -07:00
Sean J. Taylor
4841d868c5 Missed this 2017-04-17 16:56:27 -07:00
Sean J. Taylor
531b982bb8 Update version launch date. 2017-04-17 16:55:44 -07:00
Sean J. Taylor
c2b9f6229f Warning messages for seasonality 2017-04-17 16:55:44 -07:00
Sean J. Taylor
813966fdd7 0.1.1 version bumps 2017-04-17 11:29:38 -07:00
Ben Letham
5971a2369b Loop debug (#168) 
* Load Stan models on package load and keep in environment

* Load models on package import
 2017-04-13 23:23:44 -07:00
Ben Letham
df4b6158eb Allow shifting the start date of the yearly seasonality plot 2017-04-13 02:08:34 -07:00
Ben Letham
cacfdc635e Allow shifting the start date of the weekly seasonality plot 2017-04-13 01:51:17 -07:00
Ben Letham
d937f47612 Enable seasonalities automatically depending on history length / frequency 2017-04-13 01:25:03 -07:00
Sean J. Taylor
c164367c08 [bugfix] Run GC after model fitting to prevent memory errors. 2017-04-12 15:21:31 -07:00
Ben Letham
6d387a4640 Set version requirement for tidyr, see #157 2017-04-11 10:39:12 -07:00
Ben Letham
8155143af0 Allow not showing capacity on plots 2017-04-10 22:48:43 -07:00
Ben Letham
208399678c Make component plots work if forecast range is less than seasonality period 2017-04-10 18:20:06 -07:00
Ben Letham
b87daf56e5 Merge branch 'master' of https://github.com/facebookincubator/prophet 2017-04-07 19:09:31 -07:00
Ben Letham
47ae61f44e Remove hanging spaces 2017-04-07 19:09:24 -07:00
cam122286
6415dffd0c Update prophet.R (#154) 
Minor grammatical fix
 2017-04-07 19:06:13 -07:00
Ben Letham
34c0f80684 Only allow a Prophet object to be fit once 2017-04-05 10:44:21 -07:00
Ben Letham
68f88e2b73 Raise exception if date parsing fails 2017-04-04 16:28:34 -07:00
Ben Letham
459e0fed6c Document the parameters stored during fitting. 2017-04-03 18:24:54 -07:00
Ben Letham
b999dd4aa4 Add docstring to Python methods, and minor fixes to R documentation. 2017-03-23 17:27:44 +02:00
Ben Letham
5677d8c7ce Store dates from history with y NaN for make_future_dataframe 2017-03-23 15:47:29 +02:00
Ben Letham
864d06ecee Documentation update for #11 2017-03-12 17:58:03 +02:00
David J. Harris
3548546b65 invisibly return component plots (#11) 
This will make it easier for users to change the theme or other aspects of the plots, and shouldn't affect any existing behavior because the returned object is invisible.
 2017-03-12 17:51:08 +02:00
Ben Letham
f89faf2c6a Check for valid holiday lower/upper windows 2017-03-12 16:01:02 +02:00
Ben Letham
1d37f7f6fe make_future_dataframe return correct number of periods 2017-03-12 14:29:20 +02:00
Ben Letham
fcbd957bcc Refactor R component plotting to match #84 2017-03-08 17:38:56 +02:00
Ben Letham
ecc0682970 Make prophet the first class (#68, #16) 2017-03-06 13:32:28 +02:00
Ben Letham
20aca85bbb Require stan 2.14 or later 2017-03-05 17:09:18 +02:00
Ben Letham
4b7a418121 Allow _ in holiday name, fix #50 2017-03-02 16:36:00 +02:00
Ben Letham
5cec062fce Fix weekly seasonality plot in non-en locales 2017-03-01 18:38:58 +02:00
Ben Letham
b7a201086d handle repeated days for a holiday in R 2017-02-28 18:06:21 +02:00