Commit graph

3 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
oho
081772387b feat: Add Phase 2 Multi-Agent Debate System
Implement a comprehensive debate framework for improved trading decisions:

- Add 6 debate personas: Optimist, Pessimist, Fundamentalist, Technician,
  Devil's Advocate, and Neutral
- Implement structured debate rounds with position-taking and rebuttals
- Add weighted consensus mechanism for aggregating agent opinions
- Add confidence calibration tracking to improve accuracy over time
- Include comprehensive test suite (38 tests)

New components:
- src/agents/debate.py - Complete debate system implementation
  - DebateAgent: Individual agent with persona-specific prompts
  - DebateOrchestrator: Coordinates multi-agent debates
  - ConfidenceCalibrator: Tracks prediction accuracy
- tests/test_debate.py - Full test coverage

The debate system helps avoid groupthink by having agents with different
analytical biases challenge each other's positions before reaching consensus.
2026-01-12 23:23:50 +01:00
oho
32df398846 feat: Add Phase 1 Alpha Signal Enhancement module
- Add event calendar with FOMC, jobs reports, CPI release tracking
- Add news provider with multi-source aggregation (News API, Twitter, RSS)
- Add Grok integration for Twitter/X sentiment analysis
- Add signal aggregator combining technical, news, event, orderbook, and LLM signals
- Include comprehensive test suite (66 tests)

New modules:
- src/signals/events.py - Market-moving event detection and calendar
- src/signals/news.py - News fetching and sentiment analysis
- src/signals/aggregator.py - Multi-source signal aggregation and scoring
- tests/test_signals.py - Complete test coverage
2026-01-12 23:15:16 +01:00
oho
774f8b3f61 Initial commit: Alpha Arena - Polymarket Autonomous Trading Harness
A comprehensive autonomous trading system for Polymarket prediction markets
featuring multi-LLM provider support, a native macOS menu bar app, and a
web-based control dashboard.

Key features:
- Multi-agent trading system (Research, Risk, Execution, Reflection agents)
- LLM provider flexibility (Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, xAI, Local models)
- Automatic provider fallback chain for resilience
- Native Swift/SwiftUI macOS menu bar application
- FastAPI web dashboard with real-time WebSocket updates
- Risk management with kill switch
- Technical indicators and market analysis
2026-01-12 23:04:58 +01:00