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121 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Ben Letham
fdac46ad40 Fix DeprecationWarning for float64 casting 2019-05-13 15:21:54 -07:00
Ben Letham
f660264e23 Don't allow timezones in pandas datetime 2019-05-13 15:00:45 -07:00
Ben Letham
df6bef8920 Replace to_numpy() with values to maintain pd 0.23.4 support 2019-05-13 13:51:27 -07:00
Ben Letham
28cd55241f Verify that cap > floor (#807) 2019-05-13 13:11:07 -07:00
Ben Letham
e9c017ba01 Default to Newton optimizer if less than 100 datapoints (#842, #870, #888) 2019-05-07 11:47:36 -07:00
Ben Letham
26f60c0a49 If ds column is int, convert to str before pd.to_datetime to avoid nanosecond casting (#675) 2019-05-06 16:38:13 -07:00
Ben Letham
ec7689f03e R fallback to Newton if non-zero return code from optimization, to match existing Py behavior (#654) 2019-05-06 09:49:29 -07:00
Ben Letham
7297d98764 Use OrderedDict for seasonalities (#643) 2019-05-03 10:44:23 -07:00
Ben Letham
35d470cbff Meaningful error message if predict is called before fit (for #462) 2019-05-02 14:53:57 -07:00
Jerry Prawiharjo
c11e668c0d Add logger.warning when falling back to Newton method (#950) 
This adds logger.warning when we fall back to Newton method.
 2019-05-02 14:34:24 -07:00
Ray Bell
f9adb9623e WIP: remove python Series.nonzero warning (#931) 
* add to_numpy()

* remove .values
 2019-05-02 11:51:35 -07:00
Olof Höjvall
8eea5a1ca3 Feature Proposal with Python Draft: Masked seasonality (#873) 
* Added feature to mask seasonality

* Added conditional seasonality tests and fixed plotting it

* Fixed diagnostics for conditional seasonality and cleaned up code
 2019-03-18 10:04:35 -07:00
MT
eec2f46ac5 if optimization fails fallback to Newton even if algorithm is specified (#890) 2019-03-18 09:41:45 -07:00
Gabriel Linder
bd0979244d Fix FutureWarning from Pandas 0.24.0. (#830) 
* Fix FutureWarning from Pandas 0.24.0.

Signed-off-by: Gabriel Linder <linder.gabriel@gmail.com>

* Stay compatible with older versions of pandas.

Signed-off-by: Gabriel Linder <linder.gabriel@gmail.com>
 2019-02-15 10:28:51 -08:00
Ben Letham
de5b7494de Remove pd.Series from np.matmul 2019-01-15 12:47:54 -08:00
Mpho Mphego
f16e22731f Update and rename README to README.md and Unicode strings (#766) 
* Update and rename README to README.md and Unicode strings

Updated Readme file and converted from rst to markdown.
String contains ascii characters (converted to unicode string)

Signed-off-by: Mpho Mphego mpho112@gmail.com

* Deprecated import `from __future__ import unicode_literals` removed and ran isort module
https://mail.python.org/pipermail/python-dev/2016-December/147009.html

Included setuptool-git in the requirement.txt and updated `setup.py`
Reasons for this are highlighted here -> https://github.com/msabramo/setuptools-git#usage
 2018-12-20 15:33:23 -08:00
Ben Letham
1d398c679d Allow overriding any of the arguments to stan functions 2018-12-03 19:05:47 -08:00
Ben Letham
f44285038c Allow setting other handlers in the logging 2018-12-03 16:29:07 -08:00
Ben Letham
13d96cff8f Fix type casting for extra regressors, and a shape issue 2018-12-03 15:22:19 -08:00
Ben Letham
91917df8f0 Handle parameter shaping with MCMC and one changepoint (#608) 2018-12-03 14:25:28 -08:00
Ben Letham
536fe931c6 Add documentation for country holidays 2018-12-03 11:54:55 -08:00
Ben Letham
287fb2f6de Move built-in country holidays to a function (R) 2018-11-30 23:12:19 -08:00
Ben Letham
92f955d25a Move built-in country holidays to a method 2018-11-30 17:20:22 -08:00
MT
ff65d1431f Fix duplicate kwarg algorithm when newton fallback is selected (#708) 
* fix issue #700: duplicate kwarg algorithm

* fix spacing

* provide default to dict pop
 2018-10-23 12:02:43 -07:00
S-Katagiri
e63f8cdfbd change extra_regressors to OrderedDict (#688) 2018-10-18 18:07:42 -07:00
Ben Letham
c1a3839382 Remove deprecated methods 2018-08-27 14:06:10 -07:00
ziye666
817f0306a4 Modification of holiday features (#644) 
* Allow both both hoidays and append holidays; match holidays in predict and fit

* Allow both both hoidays and append holidays; match holidays in predict and fit

* Add test for append_holiday features; minor fixes

* Add column name validation for append_holidays names; allow only one country
 2018-08-27 13:52:34 -07:00
Ben Letham
107f74f0f2 Allow constant extra regressors 2018-06-01 14:53:45 -07:00
bl
f8775433c9 Remove vestigial comments, structure imports 2018-05-30 16:35:17 -07:00
bl
b96800e423 Replace assertions with error messages 2018-05-30 14:36:36 -07:00
bl
1b91fa3064 Fit if constant history and logistic growth 2018-05-30 14:33:04 -07:00
Ben Letham
cdc313584e Switch future changepoint generation to fully continuous model 2018-05-29 21:47:11 -07:00
Ben Letham
7277e6c3b2 Better error messaging for required columns ds and y 2018-05-29 16:17:59 -07:00
Ben Letham
68ff9e577d Fix issue in Python when changepoint_range=1 2018-05-25 17:00:27 -07:00
Ben Letham
cb0b47994b Validation and tests for setting range for automatic changepoints 2018-05-25 16:45:24 -07:00
Marc Ferradou
ba1bac834e Adding changepoint threshold (#299) 2018-05-25 15:53:19 -07:00
Ben Letham
6d2e93c8bc Fix pandas deprecation warning for as_matrix 2018-05-25 15:44:05 -07:00
Ben Letham
7c010aac51 Multiplicative seasonality (R) 2018-05-15 10:07:38 -07:00
Ben Letham
f1e24d3c2c Show multiplicative seasonality as percent in plots (Py) 2018-05-11 17:54:29 -07:00
Ben Letham
8d8c5b41ce Multiplicative seasonality (Py) 2018-05-09 12:25:29 -07:00
Ben Letham
b9923fd9fd Compute and store binary matrix of which seasonalities/regressors correspond to which columns in the feature matrix (Py) 2018-05-07 17:09:02 -07:00
Ben Letham
55d7d1e62d Single stan model with both trends (Py) 2018-05-04 16:04:29 -07:00
Ben Letham
3afdaaf4e1 Move copy from method to function in diagnostics file 2018-05-03 11:42:10 -07:00
Ben Letham
7c95c62cf0 Move plotting into a separate file (Py) 2018-05-03 10:23:56 -07:00
Ben Letham
0c30f6efcf Merge in some minor fixes from master 2018-04-20 18:48:21 -07:00
Ben Letham
7f9e4b80c1 Read install_requires from requirements.txt, and make things work without matplotlib installed 2018-02-02 17:10:44 -08:00
Ben Letham
e78f583f90
Merge in bugfixes from master (#349) 
* Update memory requirement description per #326

* Fix R warning with extra regressor; disallow constant extra regressors.

* Fix unit test broken in new pandas

* Fix diagnostics unit tests for new pandas

* Fix copy with extra seasonalities / regressors Py

* Fix copy with extra seasonalities / regressors R

* Fix weekly_start and yearly_start in R plot_components

* Fix plotting in pandas 0.21 by using pydatetime instead of numpy
 2017-11-08 10:09:08 -08:00
bletham
a43cfe8995 Fix component plot with logistic floor 2017-10-10 21:24:23 -07:00
Ben Letham
58173861b1 Fix scale<=0 error in old numpy versions for constant histories 2017-09-25 17:40:36 -07:00
Ben Letham
439efb7209 Graceful error on empty input dataframes 2017-09-01 15:50:19 -07:00