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111 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Ben Letham
e0cf400e23 R check cleanups 2018-05-30 23:19:56 -07:00
bl
d589859295 Add link to main site from vignette 2018-05-30 17:10:59 -07:00
bl
371e8a3bf4 Version bump 2018-05-30 17:02:47 -07:00
bl
3b20680bfc Add test i386 test skips for stan tests 2018-05-30 16:40:34 -07:00
bl
f8775433c9 Remove vestigial comments, structure imports 2018-05-30 16:35:17 -07:00
bl
a38aaa38c6 Stan fix for pystan 2.16 2018-05-30 14:23:37 -07:00
Ben Letham
218283f157 Simplify logic/interfaces for cross_validation, to better handle irregularly spaced data and actually respect initial window 2018-05-30 12:09:54 -07:00
Ben Letham
cdc313584e Switch future changepoint generation to fully continuous model 2018-05-29 21:47:11 -07:00
Ben Letham
7277e6c3b2 Better error messaging for required columns ds and y 2018-05-29 16:17:59 -07:00
Ben Letham
41d4ab472f Set noise prior variance to current value for linear growth model 2018-05-29 14:41:36 -07:00
Ben Letham
68ff9e577d Fix issue in Python when changepoint_range=1 2018-05-25 17:00:27 -07:00
Ben Letham
cb0b47994b Validation and tests for setting range for automatic changepoints 2018-05-25 16:45:24 -07:00
Marc Ferradou
ba1bac834e Adding changepoint threshold (#299) 2018-05-25 15:53:19 -07:00
Ben Letham
2d6e249391 Consistent plot styling in dygraph plot 2018-05-25 15:21:28 -07:00
Ben Letham
663214393e Minor stan simplifications 2018-05-25 13:57:45 -07:00
Ben Letham
ab09fbcd6e Remove vestigial reference to seasonal column 2018-05-16 12:42:45 -07:00
Ben Letham
3bd372bc15 Speed up stan fitting by removing unecessary parameter definitions 2018-05-15 13:26:46 -07:00
Ben Letham
7c010aac51 Multiplicative seasonality (R) 2018-05-15 10:07:38 -07:00
Ben Letham
8e8e04858a Move copy test to test_diagnostics 2018-05-04 16:15:43 -07:00
Ben Letham
b052b56d33 Refactor cross validation metrics for rolling window, add visualization, put example in notebook (R) 2018-05-04 15:07:35 -07:00
Ben Letham
3afdaaf4e1 Move copy from method to function in diagnostics file 2018-05-03 11:42:10 -07:00
Ben Letham
3da46503ed Add utility for plotting changepoints (Py), and put in plotting file (R and Py) 2018-05-03 11:10:11 -07:00
Ben Letham
0c30f6efcf Merge in some minor fixes from master 2018-04-20 18:48:21 -07:00
Ben Letham
aa4e223152 Combine trend models into a single stan file (R) 2018-04-20 17:23:11 -07:00
Ben Letham
1f84fa960f Move changepoint matrix calculation into stan (R) 2018-04-20 15:20:38 -07:00
Nagi Teramo
14d5028a73 Implement metrics for time series forecasts (#384) 
* Add metrics for model validation

* Update to reflect comments on Github

* Change all_metrics() implementation to more sophisticated style

* Update metrics functions

* Remove redundant argument

* Use v0.3 files for diagnostics.R and prophet.R

* Use v0.3 file for man/predict.prophet.Rd

* Change the interface and do some refactoring
 2018-01-05 16:05:58 -08:00
Ben Letham
014b3b5919
Merge bugfixes from master into v0.3 (#393) 
* Update memory requirement description per #326

* Fix R warning with extra regressor; disallow constant extra regressors.

* Fix unit test broken in new pandas

* Fix diagnostics unit tests for new pandas

* Fix copy with extra seasonalities / regressors Py

* Fix copy with extra seasonalities / regressors R

* Fix weekly_start and yearly_start in R plot_components

* Fix plotting in pandas 0.21 by using pydatetime instead of numpy

* Version bump

* Update README for new version

* Fix missing columns in SHF with extra regressor
 2017-12-22 16:30:18 -08:00
Ben Letham
07138f7deb R package doc update for dygraph addition 2017-12-22 13:36:46 -08:00
Ben Letham
a19589a662 Fix merge issues 2017-12-22 12:19:09 -08:00
Willy Hardy
451c886c73 Added dygraphs functionality. (#320) 
* Added dygraphs functionality.

* reversed the unintentional inclusion of prophet_copy

* namespaced  functions and corrected %>% typo
 2017-12-22 12:09:11 -08:00
Ben Letham
e78f583f90
Merge in bugfixes from master (#349) 
* Update memory requirement description per #326

* Fix R warning with extra regressor; disallow constant extra regressors.

* Fix unit test broken in new pandas

* Fix diagnostics unit tests for new pandas

* Fix copy with extra seasonalities / regressors Py

* Fix copy with extra seasonalities / regressors R

* Fix weekly_start and yearly_start in R plot_components

* Fix plotting in pandas 0.21 by using pydatetime instead of numpy
 2017-11-08 10:09:08 -08:00
Bernie Gray
1e30462779 efficiency and robustness improvements for R package (#308) 
* efficiency improvements in r package

* add drop = FALSE to df subsetting

* adding two more drop = FALSE

* add back in global var vector

* revert to previous style of piecewise_linear, piecewise_logistic

* more reversion

* even more reversion

* revert get_changepoint_matrix

* trying to pinpoint issues

* more debugginh

* tests finally pass

* last commit of pr

* last commit of pr

* add utils to imports
 2017-10-17 16:33:11 -07:00
Ben Letham
c3d2280af8 Add layer_changepoints from #273 2017-10-11 09:38:15 -07:00
Ben Letham
c6b76aab8c Move layer_changepoints to v0.3 branch 2017-10-11 09:30:25 -07:00
bletham
e04e024ff1 Add changepoint visualization to R package 2017-10-10 22:15:28 -07:00
bletham
a43cfe8995 Fix component plot with logistic floor 2017-10-10 21:24:23 -07:00
Sean J. Taylor
4c08596ee1 Changes to make R package build on windows without warnings 2017-09-12 09:31:34 -07:00
Sean J. Taylor
c0a7eac3b3 Fix for broken tests (using local timezone) 2017-09-08 11:30:43 -07:00
Ben Letham
2ab01c5d77 Fix flaky unit test 2017-09-08 07:59:52 -07:00
bl
2e9768348b Version bump 2017-09-02 13:28:30 -07:00
bl
2f9b20b2d3 Documentation for cross validation 2017-09-02 10:53:38 -07:00
Ben Letham
4f5f97d55b Fix plotting bug 2017-09-01 16:51:55 -07:00
Ben Letham
4c235d9505 R replace warning with message 2017-09-01 16:18:15 -07:00
Ben Letham
4b185bf001 Fix duplicated function from merge 2017-09-01 16:12:19 -07:00
Ben Letham
439efb7209 Graceful error on empty input dataframes 2017-09-01 15:50:19 -07:00
Ben Letham
8066634cb4 Refactor setup_dataframe R 2017-09-01 12:27:23 -07:00
Ben Letham
2ddcf54930 Saturating minimum R 2017-09-01 11:16:59 -07:00
Ben Letham
66ea9444eb Custom seasonality prior scales R, handle NAs in holiday priors 2017-09-01 10:04:20 -07:00
Ben Letham
ddbb353278 Custom prior scales R 2017-08-31 10:56:06 -07:00
Ben Letham
23d8bc25dc R unit tests for added regressors 2017-08-30 17:10:43 -07:00