mirror of
https://github.com/saymrwulf/prophet.git
synced 2026-07-23 19:32:25 +00:00
parent
5cec062fce
commit
e081db52e1
1 changed files with 91 additions and 73 deletions
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@ -34,6 +34,8 @@ except ImportError:
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# fb-block 2
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class Prophet(object):
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# Plotting default color for R/Python consistency
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forecast_color = '#0072B2'
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def __init__(
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self,
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growth='linear',
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@ -616,16 +618,15 @@ class Prophet(object):
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-------
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a matplotlib figure.
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"""
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forecast_color = '#0072B2'
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fig = plt.figure(facecolor='w', figsize=(10, 6))
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ax = fig.add_subplot(111)
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ax.plot(self.history['ds'].values, self.history['y'], 'k.')
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ax.plot(fcst['ds'].values, fcst['yhat'], ls='-', c=forecast_color)
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ax.plot(fcst['ds'].values, fcst['yhat'], ls='-', c=self.forecast_color)
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if 'cap' in fcst:
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ax.plot(fcst['ds'].values, fcst['cap'], ls='--', c='k')
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if uncertainty:
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ax.fill_between(fcst['ds'].values, fcst['yhat_lower'],
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fcst['yhat_upper'], color=forecast_color, alpha=0.2)
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fcst['yhat_upper'], color=self.forecast_color, alpha=0.2)
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ax.grid(True, which='major', c='gray', ls='-', lw=1, alpha=0.2)
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ax.set_xlabel(xlabel)
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ax.set_ylabel(ylabel)
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@ -648,87 +649,104 @@ class Prophet(object):
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a matplotlib figure.
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"""
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# Identify components to be plotted
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plot_trend = True
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plot_holidays = self.holidays is not None
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plot_weekly = 'weekly' in fcst
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plot_yearly = 'yearly' in fcst
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components = [('plot_trend', True),
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('plot_holidays', self.holidays is not None),
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('plot_weekly', 'weekly' in fcst),
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('plot_yearly', 'yearly' in fcst)]
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components = [(plot, cond) for plot, cond in components if cond]
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npanel = len(components)
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fig, axes = plt.subplots(npanel, 1, facecolor='w', figsize=(9, 3 * npanel))
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npanel = plot_trend + plot_holidays + plot_weekly + plot_yearly
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forecast_color = '#0072B2'
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fig = plt.figure(facecolor='w', figsize=(9, 3 * npanel))
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panel_num = 1
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ax = fig.add_subplot(npanel, 1, panel_num)
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ax.plot(fcst['ds'].values, fcst['trend'], ls='-', c=forecast_color)
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artists = []
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for ax, plot in zip(axes, [getattr(self, plot) for plot, _ in components]):
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artists += plot(fcst, ax=ax, uncertainty=uncertainty)
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fig.tight_layout()
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return artists
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def plot_trend(self, fcst, ax=None, uncertainty=True, **plotargs):
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artists = []
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if not ax:
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ax = fig.add_subplot(111)
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artists += ax.plot(fcst['ds'].values, fcst['trend'], ls='-', c=self.forecast_color)
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if 'cap' in fcst:
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ax.plot(fcst['ds'].values, fcst['cap'], ls='--', c='k')
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artists += ax.plot(fcst['ds'].values, fcst['cap'], ls='--', c='k')
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if uncertainty:
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ax.fill_between(
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artists += [ax.fill_between(
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fcst['ds'].values, fcst['trend_lower'], fcst['trend_upper'],
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color=forecast_color, alpha=0.2)
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color=self.forecast_color, alpha=0.2)]
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ax.grid(True, which='major', c='gray', ls='-', lw=1, alpha=0.2)
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ax.xaxis.set_major_locator(MaxNLocator(nbins=7))
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ax.set_xlabel('ds')
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ax.set_ylabel('trend')
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return artists
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if plot_holidays:
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panel_num += 1
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def plot_holidays(self, fcst, ax=None, uncertainty=True):
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artists = []
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if not ax:
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ax = fig.add_subplot(111)
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holiday_comps = self.holidays['holiday'].unique()
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y_holiday = fcst[holiday_comps].sum(1)
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y_holiday_l = fcst[[h + '_lower' for h in holiday_comps]].sum(1)
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y_holiday_u = fcst[[h + '_upper' for h in holiday_comps]].sum(1)
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# NOTE the above CI calculation is incorrect if holidays overlap
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# in time. Since it is just for the visualization we will not
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# worry about it now.
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artists += ax.plot(fcst['ds'].values, y_holiday, ls='-', c=self.forecast_color)
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if uncertainty:
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artists += [ax.fill_between(fcst['ds'].values, y_holiday_l, y_holiday_u,
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color=self.forecast_color, alpha=0.2)]
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ax.grid(True, which='major', c='gray', ls='-', lw=1, alpha=0.2)
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ax.xaxis.set_major_locator(MaxNLocator(nbins=7))
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ax.set_xlabel('ds')
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ax.set_ylabel('holidays')
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return artists
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def plot_weekly(self, fcst, ax=None, uncertainty=True):
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artists = []
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if not ax:
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ax = fig.add_subplot(111)
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df_s = fcst.copy()
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df_s['dow'] = df_s['ds'].dt.weekday_name
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df_s = df_s.groupby('dow').first()
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days = pd.date_range(start='2017-01-01', periods=7).weekday_name
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y_weekly = [df_s.loc[d]['weekly'] for d in days]
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y_weekly_l = [df_s.loc[d]['weekly_lower'] for d in days]
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y_weekly_u = [df_s.loc[d]['weekly_upper'] for d in days]
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artists += ax.plot(range(len(days)), y_weekly, ls='-', c=self.forecast_color)
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if uncertainty:
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artists += [ax.fill_between(range(len(days)), y_weekly_l, y_weekly_u,
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color=self.forecast_color, alpha=0.2)]
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ax.grid(True, which='major', c='gray', ls='-', lw=1, alpha=0.2)
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ax.set_xticks(range(len(days)))
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ax.set_xticklabels(days)
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ax.set_xlabel('Day of week')
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ax.set_ylabel('weekly')
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return artists
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def plot_yearly(self, fcst, ax=None, uncertainty=True):
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artists = []
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if not ax:
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ax = fig.add_subplot(npanel, 1, panel_num)
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holiday_comps = self.holidays['holiday'].unique()
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y_holiday = fcst[holiday_comps].sum(1)
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y_holiday_l = fcst[[h + '_lower' for h in holiday_comps]].sum(1)
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y_holiday_u = fcst[[h + '_upper' for h in holiday_comps]].sum(1)
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# NOTE the above CI calculation is incorrect if holidays overlap
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# in time. Since it is just for the visualization we will not
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# worry about it now.
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ax.plot(fcst['ds'].values, y_holiday, ls='-', c=forecast_color)
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if uncertainty:
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ax.fill_between(fcst['ds'].values, y_holiday_l, y_holiday_u,
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color=forecast_color, alpha=0.2)
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ax.grid(True, which='major', c='gray', ls='-', lw=1, alpha=0.2)
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ax.xaxis.set_major_locator(MaxNLocator(nbins=7))
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ax.set_xlabel('ds')
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ax.set_ylabel('holidays')
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df_s = fcst.copy()
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df_s['doy'] = df_s['ds'].map(lambda x: x.strftime('2000-%m-%d'))
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df_s = df_s.groupby('doy').first().sort_index()
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artists += ax.plot(pd.to_datetime(df_s.index), df_s['yearly'], ls='-',
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c=self.forecast_color)
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if uncertainty:
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artists += [ax.fill_between(
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pd.to_datetime(df_s.index), df_s['yearly_lower'],
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df_s['yearly_upper'], color=self.forecast_color, alpha=0.2)]
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ax.grid(True, which='major', c='gray', ls='-', lw=1, alpha=0.2)
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months = MonthLocator(range(1, 13), bymonthday=1, interval=2)
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ax.xaxis.set_major_formatter(DateFormatter('%B %-d'))
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ax.xaxis.set_major_locator(months)
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ax.set_xlabel('Day of year')
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ax.set_ylabel('yearly')
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return artists
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if plot_weekly:
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panel_num += 1
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ax = fig.add_subplot(npanel, 1, panel_num)
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df_s = fcst.copy()
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df_s['dow'] = df_s['ds'].dt.weekday_name
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df_s = df_s.groupby('dow').first()
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days = pd.date_range(start='2017-01-01', periods=7).weekday_name
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y_weekly = [df_s.loc[d]['weekly'] for d in days]
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y_weekly_l = [df_s.loc[d]['weekly_lower'] for d in days]
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y_weekly_u = [df_s.loc[d]['weekly_upper'] for d in days]
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ax.plot(range(len(days)), y_weekly, ls='-', c=forecast_color)
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if uncertainty:
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ax.fill_between(range(len(days)), y_weekly_l, y_weekly_u,
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color=forecast_color, alpha=0.2)
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ax.grid(True, which='major', c='gray', ls='-', lw=1, alpha=0.2)
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ax.set_xticks(range(len(days)))
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ax.set_xticklabels(days)
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ax.set_xlabel('Day of week')
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ax.set_ylabel('weekly')
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if plot_yearly:
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panel_num += 1
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ax = fig.add_subplot(npanel, 1, panel_num)
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df_s = fcst.copy()
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df_s['doy'] = df_s['ds'].map(lambda x: x.strftime('2000-%m-%d'))
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df_s = df_s.groupby('doy').first().sort_index()
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ax.plot(pd.to_datetime(df_s.index), df_s['yearly'], ls='-',
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c=forecast_color)
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if uncertainty:
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ax.fill_between(
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pd.to_datetime(df_s.index), df_s['yearly_lower'],
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df_s['yearly_upper'], color=forecast_color, alpha=0.2)
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ax.grid(True, which='major', c='gray', ls='-', lw=1, alpha=0.2)
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months = MonthLocator(range(1, 13), bymonthday=1, interval=2)
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ax.xaxis.set_major_formatter(DateFormatter('%B %-d'))
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ax.xaxis.set_major_locator(months)
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ax.set_xlabel('Day of year')
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ax.set_ylabel('yearly')
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fig.tight_layout()
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return fig
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# fb-block 9
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